Cerberus.Tikal said:
It's seriously unlikely that Triple Attack can proc on any hit of the WS, considering that would up the % of TA to over 100% during WS when using Apoc and AO.
15% native, 15% Apoc, 15% AO, that's 45%. 45% x 4 hits (1 dagger instead of two) would have a 180% activation rate during WS, in a perfect setting. That is way overkill, and anyone can eyeball that this is not the case.
First off, AO gives 10% triple and AoA gives 15% and Evisceration is 5 hits (and the offhand hit) not 4.
Second off, that's not how you figure out probabilities of successive events.
You're supposed to multiply probabilities against themselves not against the number of chances. By your logic if I flip a coin 4 times, there's over a 200% chance I get heads because it's 50% x 4.
Your numbers are wrong, but I'll use them anyone to show how erroneous your math is. A 45% triple attack rate means there is a 55% chance you don't triple. For four hits that means you would multiply .55 x .55 x .55 x .55 (which gives .091, so a 9.1% chance that you don't triple, which means a 90.9% chance you triple at least once).