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AGW Theory - Discussion
Bismarck.Ihina
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2015-10-01 11:59:20
You are talking about a fringe group of people who are a bunch of idiots anyway.
This bothers me more than anything else.
It's not just a few idiots, it's the majority.
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/01/03/republican-views-on-evolution-tracking-how-its-changed/
And that correlates well with this
http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2012/03/29/149615398/study-conservatives-trust-in-science-at-record-low
Maybe you just don't know your party as well as I do.
Asura.Saevel
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By Asura.Saevel 2015-10-01 11:59:57
Fossil fuels are limited, hydrocarbons which are created from them are unlimited.
Right now we are in possession of the technology required to synthesis all hydrocarbon fuels.
It requires more energy to produce the fuels than they yield. The only reason you would produce HC's is to suit a very specific function. Similar to the energy pit that is desalination, the only reason it makes sense to do it is because of the energy cost of transporting potable water to a specific location. In the case of HC's, there's basically no place on earth where it makes sense to produce them instead of just using an alternate energy source. If you have the energy to produce HC's, you'd never need them.
There are many cases, and this is how I know your not an engineer.
Hydrocarbons are used because they possess the highest energy density other then nuclear. If you want to transport any mass a long distance, then no other fuel is more efficient then hydrocarbons. This is why the Navy is developing a miniaturized version of this, because it's cheaper to create the fuel while underway then it is to have it shipped out on a tanker. Even at double the price ($7USD a gallon) its still cheaper due to logistical concerns. Seeing how many nations already price fuel over $7USD a gallon, we know the market can bear that cost.
Furthermore the technology required to use hydrocarbons is more mature and more efficient then solar or wind. As bad as the carnot limit is, it's no where near as brutal as the limit on solar / wind for energy conversion, storage and transportation. So your still left with hydrocarbons being the absolute best choice for powering an 18 wheeler loaded with cargo,a 777 loaded with people or your car going to grandma's.
Welcome to engineering where the only deity your allowed to have is the almighty god of numbers. No amount of false idol worship will save you from your soviet inspired religion failing you completely. No matter how much you believe, your faith will now power your car or that transportation aircraft.
By Jassik 2015-10-01 12:03:51
Fossil fuels are limited, hydrocarbons which are created from them are unlimited.
Right now we are in possession of the technology required to synthesis all hydrocarbon fuels.
It requires more energy to produce the fuels than they yield. The only reason you would produce HC's is to suit a very specific function. Similar to the energy pit that is desalination, the only reason it makes sense to do it is because of the energy cost of transporting potable water to a specific location. In the case of HC's, there's basically no place on earth where it makes sense to produce them instead of just using an alternate energy source. If you have the energy to produce HC's, you'd never need them.
There are many cases, and this is how I know your not an engineer.
Hydrocarbons are used because they possess the highest energy density other then nuclear. If you want to transport any mass a long distance, then no other fuel is more efficient then hydrocarbons. This is why the Navy is developing a miniaturized version of this, because it's cheaper to create the fuel while underway then it is to have it shipped out on a tanker. Even at double the price ($7USD a gallon) its still cheaper due to logistical concerns. Seeing how many nations already price fuel over $7USD a gallon, we know the market can bear that cost.
Furthermore the technology required to use hydrocarbons is more mature and more efficient then solar or wind. As bad as the carnot limit is, it's no where near as brutal as the limit on solar / wind for energy conversion, storage and transportation. So your still left with hydrocarbons being the absolute best choice for powering an 18 wheeler loaded with cargo,a 777 loaded with people or your car going to grandma's.
Welcome to engineering where the only deity your allowed to have is the almighty god of numbers. No amount of false idol worship will save you from your soviet inspired religion failing you completely. No matter how much you believe, your faith will now power your car or that transportation aircraft.
I never claimed to be an engineer, so I don't know what you're trying to prove by reciting exactly the same reason I gave for the niche use of producing HC's.
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2015-10-01 12:04:25
So, 2 biased sources makes you think you know the Republicans well?
Ask yourself this: How many actual Republicans answered these "polls"?
Like I said, I'm not going to deny that there are idiots in the world, they are on both sides of the spectrum, but to base your findings on two biased sources?
inb4 "neither are biased!" excuse.
Or would you rather that I use a poll from Fox News finding that liberals/democrats think that the Fed is out to get them?
Bahamut.Ravael
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By Bahamut.Ravael 2015-10-01 12:08:39
Also, having a low trust in science doesn't automatically make someone anti-science. I don't trust scientists because I get to see all the glorious mistakes they make on a regular basis. That's not to say what they do isn't amazing or beneficial, it's just that their conclusions can't always be taken at face value.
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Asura.Saevel
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By Asura.Saevel 2015-10-01 12:08:46
Fossil fuels are limited, hydrocarbons which are created from them are unlimited.
Right now we are in possession of the technology required to synthesis all hydrocarbon fuels.
It requires more energy to produce the fuels than they yield. The only reason you would produce HC's is to suit a very specific function. Similar to the energy pit that is desalination, the only reason it makes sense to do it is because of the energy cost of transporting potable water to a specific location. In the case of HC's, there's basically no place on earth where it makes sense to produce them instead of just using an alternate energy source. If you have the energy to produce HC's, you'd never need them.
There are many cases, and this is how I know your not an engineer.
Hydrocarbons are used because they possess the highest energy density other then nuclear. If you want to transport any mass a long distance, then no other fuel is more efficient then hydrocarbons. This is why the Navy is developing a miniaturized version of this, because it's cheaper to create the fuel while underway then it is to have it shipped out on a tanker. Even at double the price ($7USD a gallon) its still cheaper due to logistical concerns. Seeing how many nations already price fuel over $7USD a gallon, we know the market can bear that cost.
Furthermore the technology required to use hydrocarbons is more mature and more efficient then solar or wind. As bad as the carnot limit is, it's no where near as brutal as the limit on solar / wind for energy conversion, storage and transportation. So your still left with hydrocarbons being the absolute best choice for powering an 18 wheeler loaded with cargo,a 777 loaded with people or your car going to grandma's.
Welcome to engineering where the only deity your allowed to have is the almighty god of numbers. No amount of false idol worship will save you from your soviet inspired religion failing you completely. No matter how much you believe, your faith will now power your car or that transportation aircraft.
I never claimed to be an engineer, so I don't know what you're trying to prove by reciting exactly the same reason I gave for the niche use of producing HC's.
You attempted to argue that synthesizing hydrocarbons was a fruitless attempt because it was "niche". This is wrong and I demonstrated how it was wrong. Now your trying to deflect and run with your tail tucked between your legs while pretending you never said what you said. This is common behavior for you, when pushed into a corner you deflect and attempt to drag the conversation in a direction where you can win.
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By Aeyela 2015-10-01 12:12:43
Science isn't settled, ever. There is no condition that exists that precludes counter-arguments from taking place within a scientific discussion.
This is the craziest thing imaginable, that science is somehow determined by a group of self-appointed individuals. It's preposterous that the universe would be subservient to political ideology. The universe doesn't care what political party one is part of, it doesn't care what's politically correct or not, it simple exists with zero attention give to us. Science is the attempt to understand the universe and because the universe is so complicated, no understanding is 100% correct. This creates room for expansion of every theory every created. Except with AGW, somehow the universe has granted them immunity to such expansion or understanding. According to AGW proponents, the universe has bowed down to AGW supporters and now changes universal law to be politically correct and in line with current AGW religion.
This is why I publicity call AGW a religion. It meets all the requirements for a religion. It follows the same model the Catholic church used to stifle dissent a few hundred years ago. Recently they even attempted to make a law that would make criticizing AGW illegal while also stripping funding from those producing research that countered them.
Yes they actually proposed to do that and yes they actually did strip funding from several scientists that produced research that countered their religion.
Quit hogging the joint, Saevel!
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By Shiva.Nikolce 2015-10-01 12:14:08
Maybe you just don't know your party as well as I do.
according to your own poll more democrats than republicans believe evolution is guided by a higher power
so who are the science deniers now?
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By Jassik 2015-10-01 12:14:52
You attempted to argue that synthesizing hydrocarbons was a fruitless attempt because it was "niche". This is wrong and I demonstrated how it was wrong. Now your trying to deflect and run with your tail tucked between your legs while pretending you never said what you said. This is common behavior for you, when pushed into a corner you deflect and attempt to drag the conversation in a direction where you can win.
Yeah, no. I said it requires more energy to produce them than they yield. The only reason it would make sense to produce them is for transportation. Might we produce them as a net gain for things like cars? Sure, at least in the immediate future. But, there's basically no scenario where it makes sense to produce them for energy production, especially since transportation of energy in the form of electricity and local production of energy are already sufficient.
You have a very narrow view of fossil fuel use and a very dismissive attitude toward all green energy production.
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Bismarck.Ihina
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2015-10-01 12:17:40
So, 2 biased sources makes you think you know the Republicans well?
Ask yourself this: How many actual Republicans answered these "polls"?
Like I said, I'm not going to deny that there are idiots in the world, they are on both sides of the spectrum, but to base your findings on two biased sources?
inb4 "neither are biased!" excuse.
Or would you rather that I use a poll from Fox News finding that liberals/democrats think that the Fed is out to get them?
Well, for one, Fox News uses independent pollsters for their polls, sounds like you didn't know that.
Two, I had no idea pew research was biased. Maybe I should only check unskewed polls from now on.
All this response does is continue the trend of conservatives turn a blind eye to data they don't like. Don't you think it's not a good model in life to only listen to sources of data that you per-approve of?
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2015-10-01 12:18:45
Maybe you just don't know your party as well as I do.
according to your own poll more democrats than republicans believe evolution is guided by a higher power
so who are the science deniers now? Don't forget that 6% of all liberal/democrats don't know if they evolved or came from a higher power!
That must be because they all don't know!
Because remember:
You are talking about a fringe group of people who are a bunch of idiots anyway. If you are going to group an entire political party based on a few idiots, then don't cry when we do the same to you.
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2015-10-01 12:21:30
So, 2 biased sources makes you think you know the Republicans well?
Ask yourself this: How many actual Republicans answered these "polls"?
Like I said, I'm not going to deny that there are idiots in the world, they are on both sides of the spectrum, but to base your findings on two biased sources?
inb4 "neither are biased!" excuse.
Or would you rather that I use a poll from Fox News finding that liberals/democrats think that the Fed is out to get them?
Well, for one, Fox News uses independent pollsters for their polls, sounds like you didn't know that.
Two, I had no idea pew research was biased. Maybe I should only check unskewed polls from now on.
All this response does is continue the trend of conservatives turn a blind eye to data they don't like. Don't you think it's not a good model in life to only listen to sources of data that you per-approve of? Does it matter? If you had even the slightest bit of education, you would know that statistics and data can be skewed to fit pretty much any agenda period.
There may have been a bunch of answers the pollsters didn't like, so they didn't include them in their findings when they reported. That happens more often than you care to admit.
That's why you should always take polls with a grain of salt, and a shot of whiskey.
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Bismarck.Ihina
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2015-10-01 12:23:41
Bismarck.Ihina
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2015-10-01 12:25:12
So, 2 biased sources makes you think you know the Republicans well?
Ask yourself this: How many actual Republicans answered these "polls"?
Like I said, I'm not going to deny that there are idiots in the world, they are on both sides of the spectrum, but to base your findings on two biased sources?
inb4 "neither are biased!" excuse.
Or would you rather that I use a poll from Fox News finding that liberals/democrats think that the Fed is out to get them?
Well, for one, Fox News uses independent pollsters for their polls, sounds like you didn't know that.
Two, I had no idea pew research was biased. Maybe I should only check unskewed polls from now on.
All this response does is continue the trend of conservatives turn a blind eye to data they don't like. Don't you think it's not a good model in life to only listen to sources of data that you per-approve of? Does it matter? If you had even the slightest bit of education, you would know that statistics and data can be skewed to fit pretty much any agenda period.
There may have been a bunch of answers the pollsters didn't like, so they didn't include them in their findings when they reported. That happens more often than you care to admit.
That's why you should always take polls with a grain of salt, and a shot of whiskey.
I encounter the "No one knows anything so let's pretend no one is wrong" argument way too many times.
By Aeyela 2015-10-01 12:26:25
Does it matter? If you had even the slightest bit of education, you would know that statistics and data can be skewed to fit pretty much any agenda period.
There may have been a bunch of answers the pollsters didn't like, so they didn't include them in their findings when they reported. That happens more often than you care to admit.
That's why you should always take polls with a grain of salt, and a shot of whiskey.
They don't teach skepticism at school.
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2015-10-01 12:29:21
They don't teach skepticism at school. Right, depending on the school, they teach critical thinking and problem solving. I guess some people missed those classes and take polls like they actually mean something.
I mean, if you poll people from an area that teaches creationism, you would expect more people to answer that we were created instead of evolved.
Well, you would think that if you actually could think critically for yourself.
Bismarck.Ihina
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2015-10-01 12:32:51
Here's one from 2007
http://www.gallup.com/poll/27847/majority-republicans-doubt-theory-evolution.aspx
68% don't, 30% do.
That's 3 polls that show a majority of republicans are just a bunch of "fringe idiots".
If I can admit that there are awful/nonsensical things about the democrats/left, why can't you do the same with the right? What exactly do you lose if you ever admit to smallest fault with your own party?
By Aeyela 2015-10-01 12:36:33
They don't teach skepticism at school. Right, depending on the school, they teach critical thinking and problem solving. I guess some people missed those classes and take polls like they actually mean something.
I mean, if you poll people from an area that teaches creationism, you would expect more people to answer that we were created instead of evolved.
Well, you would think that if you actually could think critically for yourself.
Polls are a reliable way of estimating general opinion. Since this thread is nothing but estimating (we even have Theory in the title), polls should be an acceptable way of furthering the debate.
The fact you are fixating on how polls are bad implies not that the polling industry itself is bad, just that the particular poll linked was not in favour of your opinion... Which it wasn't. It's a classic technique to shoot down the validity of a statistic when it doesn't favour you, but would your concern spread to a poll that reiterates your opinion? I highly doubt it.
Way too transparent an argument.
Cerberus.Pleebo
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By Cerberus.Pleebo 2015-10-01 12:37:03
What was the purpose of this thread again? Oh right, that whole "theory" thing. So how's that data analysis coming, brahs? Where's this evidence against current AWG theory? Or an example of Nausi's incorrect models?
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By Xilk 2015-10-01 12:39:09
I learned skepticism in school. not really because they TRIED to teach it... but because It was too easy to tell when teachers and curriculum were LIEING.
I'm disappinted with all the /endthread tags in this thread....
it boils down to:
"I've stated my opinion, now everyone shut-up and accept that I'M right."
I understand that most of this sentiment is from frustration with arguing about the issue. However, that's no excuse. Its immoral and completely un-American to try to silence those who disagree with you.
This is exactly what the campaign which started (was it 1 or 2 years ago?) saying "A majority of scientists agree that man-made global warming is happening, so the discussion is over!".
This is a blatant lie. The vast majority of scientists agreed on alot of false stuff before Einstein's theory of General relativity also. Then there is quantum mechanics and string theory.
I'm sorry but saying the discussion is over for any scientific finding is absurd. There are legitimate questions about conservation of energy (why do atoms always vibrate, you cannnot quite stop them at 'absolute zero').
The reason people want to end discussion is because of Politics. NOT science.
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2015-10-01 12:39:13
If I can admit that there are awful/nonsensical things about the democrats/left, why can't you do the same with the right? Wait, you admitted that there are stupid things the liberals/democrats say? All that ever came from your fingers is how wonderful the liberals/democrats are and how much you worship them while demeaning Republicans/conservatives in the same keystrokes.
What exactly do you lose if you ever admit to smallest fault with your own party? What exactly did you prove anyway? That Republicans who strongly believe in Christianity, would back something that was ingrained into them since childhood vs. something that they don't fully understand?
How is this a fault anyway? It shows that they (the people polled in these polls) are cautious over something they don't fully comprehend and don't automatically believe what some shill on TV told them to believe in. That they back what many people told them personally vs. what some airhead from Hollywood who wouldn't give two shits about them said.
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By Jetackuu 2015-10-01 12:42:54
Don't.
I'll end our bromance.
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By Aeyela 2015-10-01 12:42:59
How is this a fault anyway?
It's a pretty massive flaw to deny undeniable scientific data that proves you wrong. There's a reason they're experts and there's a reason they're more qualified to make judgements in their field than the average person. It's equally as big a flaw to decide you know better than people who are smarter than you in a given field.
Would you ever pretend you know more about physics than Steven Hawking? No, so don't pretend you know more about climate change than experts who dedicate their whole lives studying it.
Bahamut.Ravael
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By Bahamut.Ravael 2015-10-01 12:48:11
They don't teach skepticism at school. Right, depending on the school, they teach critical thinking and problem solving. I guess some people missed those classes and take polls like they actually mean something.
I mean, if you poll people from an area that teaches creationism, you would expect more people to answer that we were created instead of evolved.
Well, you would think that if you actually could think critically for yourself.
Polls are a reliable way of estimating general opinion. Since this thread is nothing but estimating (we even have Theory in the title), polls should be an acceptable way of furthering the debate.
The fact you are fixating on how polls are bad implies not that the polling industry itself is bad, just that the particular poll linked was not in favour of your opinion... Which it wasn't. It's a classic technique to shoot down the validity of a statistic when it doesn't favour you, but would your concern spread to a poll that reiterates your opinion? I highly doubt it.
Way too transparent an argument.
Polls are often very difficult to get right. It can cost a lot of money to get a quality representation of the population that you are trying to estimate. Cutting corners for the sake of a budget is very common. There are so many easy ways to manipulate polls that it's not even funny, often by tweaking the sampling method, phrasing the questions to get the answer you want, or stretching the interpretation of the data to fit a narrative. Couple that with the fact that people don't care and will accept anything that confirms their bias and you start to realize why polls suck in general.
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By Asura.Kingnobody 2015-10-01 12:50:39
Would you ever pretend you know more about physics than Steven Hawking? No, so don't pretend you know more about climate change than experts who dedicate their whole lives studying it. So, it's ok to take people's word without question then.
Is that what you are saying?
Bismarck.Ihina
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2015-10-01 12:51:45
Wait, you admitted that there are stupid things the liberals/democrats say? All that ever came from your fingers is how wonderful the liberals/democrats are and how much you worship them while demeaning Republicans/conservatives in the same keystrokes.
You're correct there. I don't necessarily have to say them to you, on this forum, for me to hold a certain view.
For instance, the PC police are basically just super libs, as well as people who cry 'fat shaming' every time a fat person gets told to lose weight. I really don't see a hyper feminist voting republican, either, so the left isn't all perfect.
Quote: How is this a fault anyway?
Because science is nothing more than the observation of the world we live in. If you deny science, you deny reality, which is fine actually. The problem occurs when you bring your science denying into politics and try to make policy off of it.
The only reason we're talking about evolution is because I'm trying to show that republicans have a history of denying science, and AGW is just a continuation of that history.
By Jassik 2015-10-01 12:52:17
Would you ever pretend you know more about physics than Steven Hawking? No, so don't pretend you know more about climate change than experts who dedicate their whole lives studying it. So, it's ok to take people's word without question then.
Is that what you are saying?
Or have the humility to accept that your unqualified opinion will carry little weight.
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This thread per request and to alleviate debates in the Random P&R thread is for general discussion / debates / graphs / etc. on AGW (man made global warming) Theory.
Want to provide evidence of its existence, question that evidence, etc.?
Do it here.
Let's see how this goes.
Keep it relatively civil so I don't have to de-main it!
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