Besides, Rasmussen just released it's newest poll showing Trump +5 and nobody bats an eye.
I've been developing some poll weighting techniques, and this past month in particular has been very intriguing. Unfortunately state polls are harder to gauge due to a lack of data and inconsistency with polling locations, but for a basic perspective what I find interesting is realclearpolitics.com and its current "No Toss Up States" map. Based on poll averages in battleground states, Clinton can only stand to lose three more electoral votes before hitting a tie.
My eyes have been drawn to Colorado and somewhat to Wisconsin and New Hampshire lately. Emerson recently had Trump up 4 in Colorado, but I don't trust them much. What's actually more noteworthy is a Quinnipiac poll that has Clinton/Trump tied there, since Quinnipiac had Clinton up 10 about a month ago.
I understand why realclearpolitics.com has a "No Toss Up States" map, but it changes quicker than Bill's interns.
And even then, I don't think they use polling data for all 4 candidates, just Trump vs. Clinton.
A lot of states turn Red recently though. I wonder if the "deplorables" comment along with the recent terror attacks have something to do with it.
Besides, Rasmussen just released it's newest poll showing Trump +5 and nobody bats an eye.
I've been developing some poll weighting techniques, and this past month in particular has been very intriguing. Unfortunately state polls are harder to gauge due to a lack of data and inconsistency with polling locations, but for a basic perspective what I find interesting is realclearpolitics.com and its current "No Toss Up States" map. Based on poll averages in battleground states, Clinton can only stand to lose three more electoral votes before hitting a tie.
My eyes have been drawn to Colorado and somewhat to Wisconsin and New Hampshire lately. Emerson recently had Trump up 4 in Colorado, but I don't trust them much. What's actually more noteworthy is a Quinnipiac poll that has Clinton/Trump tied there, since Quinnipiac had Clinton up 10 about a month ago.
I understand why realclearpolitics.com has a "No Toss Up States" map, but it changes quicker than Bill's interns.
And even then, I don't think they use polling data for all 4 candidates, just Trump vs. Clinton.
A lot of states turn Red recently though. I wonder if the "deplorables" comment along with the recent terror attacks have something to do with it.
Yeah. Obviously this is all variable, especially before debates and any last-minute surprises/gaffes get factored in, but it's still fun for me to track. Trends are certainly favoring Trump right now (both nationally and in most battleground states), and Nate Silver seems to be getting worried.
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.
Like being wound too tight or an inability to take criticism is more common or something.
Besides, Rasmussen just released it's newest poll showing Trump +5 and nobody bats an eye.
I've been developing some poll weighting techniques, and this past month in particular has been very intriguing. Unfortunately state polls are harder to gauge due to a lack of data and inconsistency with polling locations, but for a basic perspective what I find interesting is realclearpolitics.com and its current "No Toss Up States" map. Based on poll averages in battleground states, Clinton can only stand to lose three more electoral votes before hitting a tie.
My eyes have been drawn to Colorado and somewhat to Wisconsin and New Hampshire lately. Emerson recently had Trump up 4 in Colorado, but I don't trust them much. What's actually more noteworthy is a Quinnipiac poll that has Clinton/Trump tied there, since Quinnipiac had Clinton up 10 about a month ago.
I understand why realclearpolitics.com has a "No Toss Up States" map, but it changes quicker than Bill's interns.
And even then, I don't think they use polling data for all 4 candidates, just Trump vs. Clinton.
A lot of states turn Red recently though. I wonder if the "deplorables" comment along with the recent terror attacks have something to do with it.
Yeah. Obviously this is all variable, especially before debates and any last-minute surprises/gaffes get factored in, but it's still fun for me to track. Trends are certainly favoring Trump right now (both nationally and in most battleground states), and Nate Silver seems to be getting worried.
If you read CNN/MSN/Washington Post/NYTimes/LATimes, you will see that they are all worried.
The number of Trump-bashing articles have increased exponentially. And they (the media) still thinks they have actual influence in this election cycle!
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.
Like sands through an hourglass, these are the Days of Our Lives.
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.
Like sands through an hourglass, these are the Days of Our Lives.
You just made me remember the time Marlena was possessed
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.
Like being wound too tight or an inability to take criticism is more common or something.
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.
Like being wound too tight or an inability to take criticism is more common or something.
what's interesting here is over the years on this site, the democratic side seems to be able to take a joke a lot better and the republican side doesn't seem to handle them as well.
Like being wound too tight or an inability to take criticism is more common or something.
I'm sorry Zahrah I'm at work and don't have time to read that whole article but I'm interested in what you think of the post.
No problem.
Your observation? IRL, rest assured, it's not that bad. If someone were to haphazardly vomit political meme humor in a social setting, everyone cringes, rolls their eyes and/or it solicits a, "Shut up. We're having fun here."